How Important Are Sectoral Shocks?

نویسنده

  • Enghin Atalay
چکیده

I quantify the contribution of sectoral shocks to business cycle fluctuations in aggregate output. I develop and estimate a multi-industry general equilibrium model in which each industry employs the material and capital goods produced by other sectors. Using data on U.S. industries’ input prices and input choices, I find that the goods produced by different industries are complements to one another as inputs in downstream industries’production functions. These complementarities indicate that industry-specific shocks are substantially more important than previously thought, accounting for more than half of aggregate volatility.

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تاریخ انتشار 2014